| Overall | 7W 12L 1T |
| District | 5W 7L 0T |
| Expected | 18: 0+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
43 8 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
893 12 Strength Momentum |
1060 47.1(41) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Los Lunas | 0.002 | 1217 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 989 | 18% |  |
| 08/21/15 | Miyamura | 0.002 | 730 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 896 | 75% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.002 | 761 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 843 | 64% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Piedra Vista ?? | 0.000 | 1031 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 458 | 28% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Gallup !! | 0.002 | 642 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1036 | 78% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Aztec ? | 0.002 | 1158 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 522 | 15% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Farmington | 0.005 | 1352 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 729 | 3% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Navajo Prep ! | 0.013 | 506 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1020 | 90% | |
| 09/12/15 | Socorro | 0.059 | 1287 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+3) | 1024 | 10% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.086 | 802 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 914 | 58% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.016 | 1186 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 536 | 13% | |
| 09/22/15 | Bloomfield | 0.192 | 761 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 911 | 72% | |
| 09/26/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.257 | 802 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 982 | 66% | |
| 10/02/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.348 | 1186 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 873 | 18% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Bosque | 0.479 | 1089 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 907 | 21% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.732 | 761 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 793 | 64% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.242 | 1348 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 727 | 3% | |
| 10/17/15 | Hope Christian | 0.794 | 1348 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1004 | 6% | |
| 10/20/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.858 | 506 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 834 | 94% | |
| 10/22/15 | Bosque | 0.937 | 1089 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 925 | 28% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Kirtland Central actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1060, while
Kirtland Central's "weighted playing strength" is 890
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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